Tuesday, April 15, 2008

BARACK OBAMA, HILLARY CLINTON

26 Percent of Hillary Supporters in Pennsylvania Say They Would Support McCain vs. Obama

This morning, Quinnipiac tells us:

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has stalled Illinois Sen. Barack Obama’s drive in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and holds a 50 – 44 percent lead among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today, unchanged from April 8 results.

There was no noticeable [sic, I think the word "change" was supposed to get here] ]in the matchup in polling April 12 – 13, following widespread media reports on Sen. Obama’s ‘bitter’ comments.

In this latest survey of 2,103 likely Democratic primary voters by the independent Quinnipiac University, 26 percent of Clinton supporters would switch to Arizona Sen. John McCain, the Republican, in November if Obama were the Democratic nominee. Nineteen percent of Obama backers would switch to McCain if Clinton were the Democratic nominee. A look at other groups shows:

• White voters for Clinton 57 – 37 percent, compared to 56 – 38 percent last week;
• Black voters back Obama 86 – 8 percent, compared to 75 – 17 percent;
• Women back Clinton 54 – 40 percent, unchanged from 54 – 41 percent last week;
• Men are for Obama 51 – 43 percent, compared to a 48 – 44 percent tie last week;
• Reagan Democrats back Clinton 55 – 40 percent;
• Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 – 39, while older voters back Clinton 55 – 40 percent.

“Sen. Hillary Clinton is fighting off Sen. Barack Obama’s drive to make it a close race in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, holding the six-point edge she had a week ago. She seems to have halted the erosion of whites and white women in particular from her campaign,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

“She even gained back some ground in the Philadelphia suburbs – the area where elections are won and lost in the Keystone State. She now trails Obama by just two points in this critical area, while she was 11 points behind a week ago.”

04/15 08:09 AMShare