Tuesday, February 05, 2008

HORSERACE

Reading tea leaves in Delaware, Montana, and West Virginia

A Campaign Spot reader calls my attention to a couple of numbers for the GOP race in those lesser-watched states, with fewer delegates.

1) ARG did a poll in Delaware that put McCain up 41 to 35 over Romney. Huckabee 7, Paul 5.

Back in October of last year, Fairleigh Dickinson University did a poll, that had Giuliani 37, McCain 14, "Thomson" [sic] 13, Romney 10.

2) The reader notes,

Montana is holding what's essentially a party leader caucus tomorrow.  Rank-and-file Republicans can't vote.  Any poll of the state wouldn't necessarily tell us much.  But Mason-Dixon did poll the state back in December.  It had a very small sample, but showed Huckabee leading by 1 - Huckabee 16 percent, Giuliani 15 percent, Romney 13 percent, Thompson 12 percent, McCain 5 percent, Paul 4 percent.

3) "West Virginia selects 18 delegates at their convention, not 9.  And they all go to the majority winner statewide, not by CD.   (The other 9 delegates are selected in a May primary, 3 each to the winner of WV's 3 CDs)."
 
West Virginia will have the first results today - perhaps as early as 12:30 p.m. The AP notes:

Romney and Huckabee each plan to appeal personally for the 18 national delegates up for grabs at the convention, their campaigns said Monday.

Ron Paul announced earlier that he would also attend the Charleston convention. Front-runner John McCain is sending former Louisiana Gov. Buddy Roemer to speak on his behalf.

02/05 09:11 AMShare