Thursday, October 29, 2009

HORSERACE

New Jersey Is Close, Which Means New Jersey Is Going to Be Tough to Win

Two more polls out in New Jersey this afternoon, both of which are relatively ominous for Republican Chris Christie. Democracy Corps, a Democratic firm, puts out a poll showing Corzine up by 5 percentage points.

Readers are entitled to be a bit skeptical of a poll that shows Jon Corzine's favorables and unfavorables looking better than Christie's, but it's worth remembering that Corzine has dominated the airwaves, and President Obama almost now qualifies for resident status. That might be enough to get New Jersey voters to forget that they've loathed their governor with a passion all year long.

The Daily Kos poll shows Christie up a point, 42 to 41; their last poll put Christie up 4. Frustratingly, we haven't seen polls showing the same "pop" for Christie that Rasmussen and PPP did. Just about everybody shows a close race, and concerns about voter fraud make Republicans unable to feel optimistic about a close race. Norm Coleman can explain how winning a race on election night doesn't always mean you get to take the oath of office.

10/29 04:29 PMShare