Sunday, November 02, 2008

HORSERACE

Pew Suddenly Says 'Nevermind' About Tuesday's Shocking Numbers

Can I call shenanigans on the Pew Research Center?

On Tuesday, they told us:

Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters... When the sample is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38%.

Tonight, they tell us:

In the campaign’s final week, McCain is getting the boost that Republican candidates typically receive when the sample is narrowed from the base of 2,995 registered voters to those most likely to vote. Among all registered voters, Obama leads by 50% to 39%. His lead had been 16 points among registered voters (52% to 36%) in Pew’s previous survey, conducted Oct. 23-26.

Pew’s final survey indicates that the remaining undecided vote breaks slightly in McCain’s favor. When both turnout and the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account in Pew’s final estimate, Obama holds a 52% to 46% advantage, with 1% each going to Ralph Nader and Bob Barr.

Really? Obama's lead shrunk from fifteen to six in five days?

Is it possible the lead was never that high, guys?

11/02 07:39 PMShare