Thursday, October 29, 2009

HORSERACE

Latest Poll Doesn't Quite Show Doug Hoffman Winning, But . . .

Two days ago, I urged a bit of caution about polls showing Conservative Doug Hoffman leading in New York's special election, saying that I wanted to "see a poll that wasn't sponsored by a group that endorsed Hoffman that put him ahead before I felt confident about his chances in this race."

Well, Daily Kos sponsored a poll, and while it doesn't show Hoffman ahead, Dave Weigel reports that it shows him surging and really close to Democrat Bill Owens; Hoffman's at 32 percent and Owens is at 33 percent, with Republican Dede Scozzafava trailing badly at 21 percent.

Of course, this doesn't mean Hoffman isn't winning; it just tells us that it's a close race, and that Scozzafava is, as mentioned earlier, turning into an afterthought.

10/29 12:04 PMShare